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EDINET 9339 Neutral Risk Analyzed 📈 Growth 5/10
COACH A Co.,Ltd.
Semi-Annual Report - 26th Term(2026/01/01 - 2026/12/31) / 2026-08-07 16:00
Covers EDINET statutory filings (TDNET timely disclosures / earnings flashes are not included).
EarningsM&ABacklogNew ProductM&A/AllianceCapacity
AI Summary
2026-08-07 16:14
H1 2026 revenue declined 2.1% to ¥1,612M; operating profit fell 57.7% to ¥16M, but orders grew 10% YoY and net income nearly broke even. Company transitions to holding company structure with two new subsidiaries starting 2027.
KEY POINTS
- Orders surged 10% YoY, but revenue fell 2.1% to ¥1,612M as large project billings deferred to H2
- Operating profit plunged 57.7% while ordinary profit rose 21.0% supported by FX gains (¥4.5M) and interest income (¥2.5M)
- Company to transition to holding company structure in Jul 2026, establishing two new subsidiaries (each ¥500M capitalized) to strengthen market competitiveness by service segment
📊 Revenue
Revenue -2.1% (¥1,646M → ¥1,612M)
💰 Operating profit
OP -57.7% (¥38M → ¥16M)
🔮 Outlook
Not stated
📈 Growth outlook
📈 Growth 5/10
Orders trending well with large enterprise projects expanding, but H1 revenue limited by deferred billings. AI coaching short-cycle services performing well. Transition to holding company with segmented subsidiaries should enhance market competitiveness and support mid-term growth.
Growth drivers
- Orders +10% YoY with focus on large enterprise executive/organizational development projects
- AI coaching service (CoachAmit) and short-cycle offerings expanding steadily
- Holding company transition with two subsidiaries to strengthen sales organization by customer segment
- Continued platform development and service innovation (¥34M capex on intangibles)
Risk and growth scores and tags are AI-generated estimates from analyzing the disclosure. They are not guarantees of fact, nor investment advice or recommendations. Make investment decisions at your own discretion.
⚠️ Extracted Risk Factors
| Category | Description | Score | New |
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Deterioration Risk | H1 operating profit plunged 57.7%. While major projects billings deferred to H2, realization delays or order-to-revenue conversion failures pose earnings risk. | 6/10 | |
| Reorganization Risk | Transition to holding company structure with two new subsidiaries starting Jan 2027. Integration of operations, staffing, and systems creates execution risk. | 5/10 | |
| Market Risk | Coaching business depends on corporate training budgets and economic conditions; recession could cause rapid order and revenue contraction. | 5/10 | |
| Customer Concentration Risk | Growing dependence on large enterprise executive projects. Customer losses or budget cuts could materially impact revenue. | 4/10 | |
| Foreign Exchange Risk | International operations (especially Shanghai subsidiary) exposed to FX volatility. H1 saw ¥4.5M FX gain, but yen appreciation could reverse. | 3/10 | |
| Technology Risk | New AI-based coaching service (CoachAmit) may fail to gain traction; insufficient market adoption could undermine growth expectations and competitiveness. | 3/10 |
6/10
Earnings Deterioration Risk
H1 operating profit plunged 57.7%. While major projects billings deferred to H2, realization delays or order-to-revenue conversion failures pose earnings risk.
5/10
Reorganization Risk
Transition to holding company structure with two new subsidiaries starting Jan 2027. Integration of operations, staffing, and systems creates execution risk.
5/10
Market Risk
Coaching business depends on corporate training budgets and economic conditions; recession could cause rapid order and revenue contraction.
4/10
Customer Concentration Risk
Growing dependence on large enterprise executive projects. Customer losses or budget cuts could materially impact revenue.
3/10
Foreign Exchange Risk
International operations (especially Shanghai subsidiary) exposed to FX volatility. H1 saw ¥4.5M FX gain, but yen appreciation could reverse.
3/10
Technology Risk
New AI-based coaching service (CoachAmit) may fail to gain traction; insufficient market adoption could undermine growth expectations and competitiveness.
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